VOLATILITY DEPENDENCE STRUCTURE BETWEEN THE MEXICAN STOCK EXCHANGE AND THE WORLD CAPITAL MARKET

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Francisco López Herrera
Roberto J. Santillán Salgado
Salvador Cruz Ake

Resumen

This paper studies the integration of the Mexican Stock Exchange (MSE) into the World Capital Market (WCM). We detect a long-run equilibrium relationship, despite the effects of structural breaks associated to different financial crises during our period of analysis (1987-2012). The analytical approach begins with the estimation of a bivariate VECM in the mean, including several dummy variables that capture the main crisis episodes that took place during the estimation period. Next, we specify a VARMA-GARCH model with Dynamic Conditional Correlation, and, finally, we fit a Clayton copula to returns, conditional on two volatility regimes (low and high), in order to further understand the nature of their dependence structure.

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Cómo citar
López Herrera, F., Santillán Salgado, R. J., & Cruz Ake, S. (2016). VOLATILITY DEPENDENCE STRUCTURE BETWEEN THE MEXICAN STOCK EXCHANGE AND THE WORLD CAPITAL MARKET. Investigación Económica, 74(293), 69–97. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.inveco.2015.06.001