Votantes permisivos: la tolerancia ciudadana ante las transgresiones a la integridad electoral

Contenido principal del artículo

Alejandro Monsiváis-Carrillo

Resumen

Los votantes que se identifican con el gobierno en turno tienden a mostrar mayor confianza en las instituciones políticas. Sin embargo, en algunas circunstancias,estos votantes también pueden mostrar mayor tolerancia a las transgresiones perpetradas por el ejecutivo en contra de la democracia. Ese artículo aporta evidencia de que los votantes identificados con el gobierno muestran mayor permisividad ante las violaciones a la integridad electoral cuando el ejecutivo promueve elecciones manipuladas e inequitativas. Este estudio utiliza los datos de la Encuesta Mundial de Valores para analizar las actitudes hacia la integridad electoral en catorce países de América. Estos fueron clasificados en democracias liberales, democracias electorales y autoritarismos competitivos. Los resultados muestran que las percepciones de integridad y malas prácticas electorales están asociadas a lo mismo, la identificación de la ciudadanía con el ejecutivo que al tipo de régimen político. El análisis revela, en lo particular, que los ciudadanos afines al gobierno y que viven en un régimen autoritario-competitivo tienden a ser más permisivos, pues perciben tanta integridad electoral como los votantes en democracias liberales. Estos hallazgos contribuyen a investigar las condiciones asociadas a la tolerancia ciudadana a las transgresiones a la integridad electoral.

Detalles del artículo

Cómo citar
Monsiváis-Carrillo, A. (2024). Votantes permisivos: la tolerancia ciudadana ante las transgresiones a la integridad electoral. Revista Mexicana De Opinión Pública, (36), 163–188. https://doi.org/10.22201/fcpys.24484911e.2024.36.87263
Biografía del autor/a

Alejandro Monsiváis-Carrillo, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte

Profesor-investigador en El Colegio de la Frontera Norte, A. C. (www.colef.mx). Se interesa por la relación entre opinión pública, representación política y democracia. Sus publicaciones recientes abordan temas de confianza institucional, populismo, integridad electoral y autocratización.

Citas

Anderson, C. J., Blais, A., Bowler, S., Donovan, T. y Listhaug, O. (2005). Loser's Consent: Elections and Democratic Legitimacy. Oxford University Press.

Birch, S. (2023). Integridad electoral como igualdad política. Revista Elecciones, 22(25), 19-46. https://doi.org/10.53557/elecciones.2023.v22n25.01

Birch, S. y Van Ham, C. (2017). Getting away with foul play? The importance of formal and informal oversight institutions for electoral integrity. European Journal of Political Research, 56(3), 487-511. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12189

Carranza, N. (2023). Integridad electoral en América Latina. Revista Elecciones, 22(25), 7-16. https://doi.org/10.53557/elecciones.2023.v22n25.00

Cohen, M. J., Smith, A. E., Moseley, M. W. Y Layton, M. L. (2022). Winners’ Consent? Citizen Commitment to Democracy When Illiberal Candidates Win Elections. American Journal of Political Science, n/a(n/a). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12690

Coppedge, M., John Gerring, Carl Henrik Knutsen, Staffan I. Lindberg, Jan Teorell, David Altman, Michael Bernhard, Agnes Cornell, M. Steven Fish, Lisa Gastaldi, Haakon Gjerløw, Adam Glynn, Ana Good God, Sandra Grahn, Allen Hicken, Katrin Kinzelbach, Joshua Krusell, Kyle L. Marquardt, Kelly McMann, . . . Ziblatt, D. (2023). V-Dem [Country-Year/Country-Date] Dataset v13 Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Project. https://doi.org/10.23696/vdemds23.

Cornejo, R. C. (2023). Same scandal, different interpretations: politics of corruption, anger, and partisan bias in Mexico. Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties, 33(3), 497-518. https://doi.org/10.1080/17457289.2022.2120487

Dahlberg, S. y Linde, J. (2016). Losing Happily? The Mitigating Effect of Democracy and Quality of Government on the Winner–Loser Gap in Political Support. International Journal of Public Administration, 39(9), 652-664. https://doi.org/10.1080/01900692.2016.1177831

Druckman, J. N. (2012). The Politics of Motivation. Critical Review, 24(2), 199-216. https://doi.org/10.1080/08913811.2012.711022

Druckman, J. N., Peterson, E. y Slothuus, R. (2013). How Elite Partisan Polarization Affects Public Opinion Formation. American Political Science Review, 107(1), 57-79. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055412000500

Esaiasson, P. (2011). Electoral losers revisited – How citizens react to defeat at the ballot box. Electoral Studies, 30(1), 102-113. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2010.09.009

Flesken, A. y Hartl, J. (2018). Party Support, Values, and Perceptions of Electoral Integrity. Political Psychology, 39(3), 707-724. https://doi.org/10.1111/pops.12431

Frank, R. W. y Martínez i Coma, F. (2017). How election dynamics shape perceptions of electoral integrity. Electoral Studies, 48, 153-165. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2017.05.007

Garnett, H. A. y James, T. (2020). Cyber Elections in the Digital Age: Threats and Opportunities of Technology for Electoral Integrity. Election Law Journal: Rules, Politics, and Policy, 19(2), 111-126. https://doi.org/10.1089/elj.2020.0633

Garnett, H. A., James, T. y MacGregor, M. (2022). Electoral Integrity Global Report 2019-2021. https://www.electoralintegrityproject.com/

Graham, M. H. y Svolik, M. W. (2020). Democracy in America? Partisanship, Polarization, and the Robustness of Support for Democracy in the United States. American Political Science Review, 114(2), 392-409. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055420000052

Haerpfer, C., Inglehart, R., Moreno, A., Welzel, C., Kizilova, K., Jaime, D.-M., Lagos, M., Norris, P., Ponarin, E. y Puranen, B. (2022). World Values Survey: Round Seven -Country-Pooled Datafile Version 5.0. JD Systems Institute & WVSA Secretariat. http://www.worldvaluessurvey.org/WVSDocumentationWV7.jsp]

Haggard, S. y Kaufman, R. (2021). Backsliding: Democratic Regress in the Contemporary World. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108957809

Levitsky, S. y Way, L. A. (2010). Competitive Authoritarianism: Hybrid Regimes after the Cold War. Cambridge University Press.

Long, J. D. (2023). Protecting Electoral Integrity in Emerging Democracies. En T. Madon, A. J. Gadgil, R. Anderson, L. Casaburi, K. Lee y A. Rezaee (Eds.), Introduction to Development Engineering: A Framework with Applications from the Field (pp. 489-512). Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-86065-3_18

Lührmann, A., & Lindberg, S. I. (2019). A Third Wave of Autocratization is Here: What is New About It? Democratization, 26(7), 1095-1113. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2019.1582029

Lührmann, A., Tannenberg, M. y Lindberg, S. (2018). Regimes of the World (RoW): Opening New Avenues for the Comparative Study of Political Regimes. Politics and Governance, 6(1), 60-77. https://doi.org/10.17645/pag.v6i1.1214

Maerz, S. F., Edgell, A. B., Wilson, M. C., Hellmeier, S. y Lindberg, S. I. (2023). Episodes of regime transformation. Journal of Peace Research, 0(0), 00223433231168192. https://doi.org/10.1177/00223433231168192

Manin, B., Przeworski, A., y Stokes, S. (1999). Elections and Representation. En A. Przeworski, S. Stokes y B. Manin (Eds.), Democracy, Accountability and Representation (pp. 29-55). Cambridge University Press.

Martini, S. y Quaranta, M. (2019). Political support among winners and losers: Within‐ and between‐country effects of structure, process and performance in Europe. European Journal of Political Research, 58(1), 341-361. https://doi.org/10.1111/1475-6765.12284

Mauk, M. y Grömping, M. (2023). Online Disinformation Predicts Inaccurate Beliefs About Election Fairness Among Both Winners and Losers. Comparative Political Studies, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140231193008

Mazepus, H., & Toshkov, D. (2021). Standing up for Democracy? Explaining Citizens’ Support for Democratic Checks and Balances. Comparative Political Studies, 55(8), 1271–1297. https://doi.org/10.1177/00104140211060285

Méndez de Hoyos, I., Grömping, M., Martínez i Coma, F. y Loza Otero, N. (2021). Integridad electoral y órganos electorales subnacionales en México: el papel de la imparcialidad. Región y Sociedad, 33. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.22198/rys2021/33/1485

Méndez de Hoyos, I., i Coma, F. M. y Loza, N. (2019). Introducción. En I. Méndez, N. Loza, & F. Martínez (Eds.), Integridad electoral: México en perspectiva global (1 ed., pp. 7-16). FLACSO-México. https://doi.org/10.2307/j.ctvxbpgs0.3

Mendez, I. y Perez Arellano, M. (2023). Electoral Integrity and Turnout in a Context of Violence at the Sub-National Level in Mexico, 2015–2018. Bulletin of Latin American Research, 42(5), 635-648. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/blar.13522

Moehler, D. C. (2009). Critical Citizens and Submissive Subjects: Election Losers and Winners in Africa. British Journal of Political Science, 39(2), 345-366. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123408000513

Monsiváis-Carrillo, A. (2020). Permissive Winners? The Quality of Democracy and the Winner–Loser Gap in the Perception of Freedoms. Political Studies, 70(1), 173-194. https://doi.org/10.1177/0032321720952230

Monsiváis-Carrillo, A. (2021). Integridad electoral, interés en la política y satisfacción con la democracia en México. Foro Internacional, LXI(4), 881-923. https://doi.org/10.24201/fi.v61i4.2819

Monsiváis-Carrillo, A. (2022a). Happy Winners, Sore Partisans? Political Trust, Partisanship, and the Populist Assault on Electoral Integrity in Mexico. Journal of Politics in Latin America, 15(1), 72-95. https://doi.org/10.1177/1866802x221136147

Monsiváis-Carrillo, A. (2022b). Perception of Electoral Integrity, Trust in Elections, and the Conditional Role of the Understanding of Democracy: Addressing the “Mexican Paradox”. Colombia Internacional, 110, 89-121. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.7440/colombiaint110.2022.04

Norris, P. (2013). The New Research Agenda Studying Electoral Integrity. Electoral Studies, 32(4), 563-575. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2013.07.015

Norris, P. (2014). Why Electoral Integrity Matters. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107280861

Norris, P. (2019). Do Perceptions of Electoral Malpractice Undermine Democratic Satisfaction? The US in Comparative Perspective. International Political Science Review, 40(1), 5-22. https://doi.org/10.1177/0192512118806783

Pitkin, H. (1967). The Concept of Representation. University of California Press.

Powell, B. J. (2000). Elections as Instruments of Democracy: Mayoritarian and Proportional Visions. Yale University Press.

Przeworski, A. (2005). Democracy as an Equilibrium. Public Choice, 123(3-4), 253-273.

Schedler, A. (2002). The Menu of Manipulation. Journal of Democracy, 13(2), 36-50. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2002.0031

Schedler, A. (2013). The Politics of Uncertainty: Sustaining and Subverting Electoral Authoritarianism. Oxford University Press.

Singer, M. (2018). Delegating Away Democracy: How Good Representation and Policy Successes Can Undermine Democratic Legitimacy. Comparative Political Studies, 51(13), 1754-1788. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414018784054

Singer, M. (2021). Fiddling while Democracy Burns: Partisan Reactions to Weak Democracy in Latin America. Perspectives on Politics, 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1537592721002899

Svolik, M. W. (2020). When Polarization Trumps Civic Virtue: Partisan Conflict and the Subversion of Democracy by Incumbents. Quarterly Journal of Political Science, 15(1), 3-31. https://doi.org/10.1561/100.00018132

Taber, C. S. y Lodge, M. (2012). Motivated Sckepticism in the Evaluation of Political Beliefs (2006). Critical Review, 24(2), 157-184. https://doi.org/10.1080/08913811.2012.711019

Tarouco, G. D. S. (2023). Integridad electoral: desarrollos conceptuales y desafíos metodológicos. Revista Elecciones, 22(25), 47-86. https://doi.org/10.53557/elecciones.2023.v22n25.02

Urbinati, N. y Warren, M. (2008). The Concept of Representation in Contemporary Democratic Theory. Annual Review of Political Science, 11, 387-412.

Van Ham, C. y Lindberg, S. (2015). When Guardians Matter Most: Exploring the Conditions Under Which Electoral Management Body Institutional Design Affects Election Integrity. Irish Political Studies, 30(4), 454-481. https://doi.org/10.1080/07907184.2015.1099097