ESTRUCTURA PRODUCTIVA Y CRECIMIENTO ECONÓMICO EN MÉXICO: UNA PERSPECTIVA MULTISECTORIAL
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Abstract
La economía mexicana ha registrado cuatro décadas de lento crecimiento; no obstante, es razonable esperar que su estructura productiva haya cambiado en ese largo horizonte temporal como resultado del cambio técnico incorporado o de las políticas económicas centradas en la integración con la economía de Estados Unidos, entre otras causas. De acuerdo con la llamada “ley Kaldor-Verdoorn”, el crecimiento de la economía se explica por el comportamiento del producto y la productividad en el sector manufacturero. Luego, se deduce que este sector ha perdido la capacidad de generar crecimiento. En este artículo se examina esta hipótesis desde una perspectiva estructural y desde la de esa ley, estimando también los multiplicadores del producto al modo de Miyazawa.
PRODUCTIVE STRUCTURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN MEXICO: A MULTISECTORAL PERSPECTIVE
ABSTRACT
The Mexican economy has shown four decades of slow growth; still it would be reasonable to expect changes in its productive structure along such a long period of time considered, as a result either of the embodied technical change or as a result of the economic policies, that have sought the integration with the US economy, among other causes. According to the so called “Kaldor-Verdoorn law”, growth is explained by the behaviour of both output and the manufacturing productivity; hence, in Mexico this sector must have lost its ability to induce growth in the economy as a whole. This paper examines such hypothesis from a structural perspective, considering such law, estimating also the output multipliers á la mode de Miyazawa.Article Details
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